Page 1 of 1 SP predictions

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 12:40 pm
by cmchampa2 expects "14 wins and high 4.00 ERA" from Jeremy Bonderman. Not exactly breakout numbers, though not awful either.

Come to think of it, doesn't Fanball ALWAYS predict 14 wins and about a 4.00 ERA for all SPs after the top few? Are these the same people that never miss a chance to advise fantasy managers to sit injured players until they play or that players sent to the minors have no fantasy value? experts are like weathermen, they don't want to miss by too much, so they just predict that all players will be average.

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 12:43 pm
by LBJackal
14 W and a 4.00 ERA is being generous IMO. People are infatuated with K's. This guy has bad control and doesn't keep the ball in the park all that well, especially for a guy in Comerica. Give him another year or two.

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 12:52 pm
by Cornbread Maxwell
I expect more than 14 Ws - but not much more at all - in the 14-16 range. His Ks are impressive. But other than that, Bonderman is overrated by many people.

Sure he has a lot of raw talent and he is very young - those two things should suggest that his %s will be very erratic, and his ERA shouldnt be projected lower than 4 by anyone.

I started this spring thinking he was way overrated in fantasy circles, and I still think he is, but his ST starts suggest he is ready to go, and he could be worth the price.

As a Tiger fan, I love Bondo, but Im also realistic about what to expect from him.

I think Nate robertson will have similar value to Bonderman at the end of the yr based on stat totals. Ranking wise, Bonderman is becoming an elite top 20 SP, but not there yet - probably not until the latter half of '05.

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 3:06 pm
by moochman
You have to take notice on this guy's potential, though. He finished last season very strong, posting silly numbers. Sub .300 ERA, Batting average against around .200ish. And now this ST he has been studly. Look at yesterday's numbers:
5 IP: 0 runs, 1 hit, 2 walks, 5 Ks.

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 6:25 pm
by Broncmet724
Thought he had around a 3.6-3.8 ERA late

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 8:20 pm
by hybrid
It's weird, I've always been high on Bonderman since he was in the minors. Though lately with all the hype he is getting from most magazines, he seems to be underrated here at the cafe IMO.

Maybe I should have a Bonderman watch this year in my sig :-?

PostPosted: Wed Mar 23, 2005 9:42 pm
by Iconoclastic
I'll bet nobody believed Peavy, Sheets, or Perez would have the monster seasons they had last year either. Who knows?

PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2005 4:24 am
by moochman
Broncmet724 wrote:Thought he had around a 3.6-3.8 ERA late

I can remember reading that he finished very strong his last 8 outings, but I could only come up with monthly breakdowns. I would assume then that the last 2 starts in Aug were similar to those in Sept. Here is the breakdown for his 6 Sept starts:
4-2, 42 Ks, 2.53 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and an bat ave against of .199.