Return to Baseball Leftovers

Overrating Aaron Rowand?

Moderator: Baseball Moderators

Overrating Aaron Rowand?

Postby Bobby Baseball » Thu Mar 24, 2005 6:54 pm

I keep seeing this guy ranked ahead of better known, more established outfieders. I know he had a great 2nd half last year and is a nice speed/power combo but I think he may be a bit overvalued at the moment.

What are realistic projections for him? I say .295, 28 HRs, 78 rbi, 90 runs, 21 steals.

Please post your projections. THANKS!
Last edited by Bobby Baseball on Thu Mar 24, 2005 8:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Image

Double Deuce Ranch
Bobby Baseball
College Coach
College Coach

User avatar

Posts: 204
Joined: 4 Feb 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Asbury Park, NJ

Postby bselig » Thu Mar 24, 2005 6:55 pm

Those are reasonably generous projections, though certainly not unattainable; i should hope no one is going much farther than that
bselig Beginner
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 947
(Past Year: -1)
Joined: 3 Feb 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby so0perspam » Thu Mar 24, 2005 6:55 pm

My projections:
.295, 100 runs, 28 HR, 82 RBI, 20 SB
ImageImage
so0perspam
Hall of Fame Hero
Hall of Fame Hero

User avatar
Mock(ing) DrafterEagle EyeCafe Musketeer
Posts: 8578
(Past Year: -75)
Joined: 17 Dec 2003
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Bay Area

Postby thomasps3 » Thu Mar 24, 2005 7:01 pm

With Ozzie saying his team is going small ball and Rowand now in his prime power years, I can really see Rowand going off this year, but with a low confidence rating.

Conceivably:

.302
29 HR
83 RBI
30 SB
80 Rs

One caveat, though: a fairly low confidence rating of 35% for those numbers, but definitely worth the risk as a 3rd OF, and maybe even a 2nd
Image
thomasps3
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar
Cafe WriterMock(ing) Drafter
Posts: 1664
(Past Year: -8)
Joined: 2 Jan 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Giving BIG UPS to Teddy BallGame for the AWESOME SIG

Postby RAmst23 » Thu Mar 24, 2005 7:26 pm

I think he's getting drafted way too high for what he can produce. To me he's another Torii Hunter, but he's going rounds ahead of Torii. Overrated IMO
...Boston papers now and then suffer a sharp flurry of arithmetic on this score; indeed, for Williams to have distributed all his hits so they did nobody else any good would constitute a feat of placement unparalleled in the annals of selfishness. -Updike
RAmst23
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar

Posts: 1978
(Past Year: -8)
Joined: 6 Apr 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Sitting on the steps of Busch Stadium

Postby thomasps3 » Thu Mar 24, 2005 7:50 pm

When you say "Way too high" what round have you seen him drafted? I agree, some people will target him, however, you have to think that a 10th-12th round pick is a worthwhile investment in Rowand, especially considering he:

1.) Is entering his prime power years (27)

2.) Plays in a huge hitters park

3.)Ozzie has said his team is going ot be running more this year...
Image
thomasps3
Major League Manager
Major League Manager

User avatar
Cafe WriterMock(ing) Drafter
Posts: 1664
(Past Year: -8)
Joined: 2 Jan 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball
Location: Giving BIG UPS to Teddy BallGame for the AWESOME SIG

Postby Iconoclastic » Thu Mar 24, 2005 8:35 pm

RAmst23 wrote:I think he's getting drafted way too high for what he can produce. To me he's another Torii Hunter, but he's going rounds ahead of Torii. Overrated IMO


I agree, plus White Sox lineup this year is missing Big Hurt and Carlos Lee, although they added Pods. So expect fewer runs.
Iconoclastic
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 792
(Past Year: -3)
Joined: 5 Apr 2004
Home Cafe: Baseball

Postby .38 Special » Thu Mar 24, 2005 11:12 pm

He was drafted before Carlos Lee in my league :-°
.38 Special
Minor League Mentor
Minor League Mentor

User avatar

Posts: 466
(Past Year: -3)
Joined: 1 Mar 2005
Home Cafe: Baseball


Return to Baseball Leftovers

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 11 guests

cron