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PostPosted: Thu Dec 15, 2005 12:35 am
by Sticky Spice
Burke has been offered to me in trade so I've really been studying up on his playing time prospects this year.

It doesn't look good. I don't see how he will get any more at bats than last year, and in fact it looks worse. The Astros are semi-actively looking on the free agent market for a LFer including having an offer in to Nomar. Other vets like Rondell White are also being considered.

So even if they sign White and he inevitably gets injured that still doesn't mean big PT for Burke. Yes, they are committed to Biggio at 2B so it won't be there unless Biggio gets hurt. Bagwell will at least have the right-handed half of a platoon at first, but remember they will also be finding at bats for the newly re-signed Mike Lamb who they really gave a lot of at bats to in the 2nd half of last year and who is one of their few power guys. This scenario would leave Berkman in LF.

As much as I think Burke is an exciting option, it just isn't safe to guarantee him even 300 plate appearances this year. It would take injury(ies) or big slumps by Lane or Tavares to get him those ABs.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 15, 2005 12:39 am
by JTWood
stumpak wrote:On a smaller scale, I think Burke will be this year's Orlando Cabrera. People will overpay based on his big postseason. In reality he has yet to show that, while the fantasy potential is there, he is worth anything at 2B much less OF in anything but the very deepest leagues. But watch, some fool will gamble on him in almost every league.

Cabrera? I was thinking more along the lines of Beltran... ish. After all, he was an Astro, too.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 15, 2005 1:05 am
by bronxxbomber
JTWood wrote:
stumpak wrote:On a smaller scale, I think Burke will be this year's Orlando Cabrera. People will overpay based on his big postseason. In reality he has yet to show that, while the fantasy potential is there, he is worth anything at 2B much less OF in anything but the very deepest leagues. But watch, some fool will gamble on him in almost every league.

Cabrera? I was thinking more along the lines of Beltran... ish. After all, he was an Astro, too.
:-b Stop hating Beltran actually has put up huge numbers before.

PostPosted: Thu Dec 15, 2005 8:02 am
by JTWood
bronxxbomber wrote:
JTWood wrote:
stumpak wrote:On a smaller scale, I think Burke will be this year's Orlando Cabrera. People will overpay based on his big postseason. In reality he has yet to show that, while the fantasy potential is there, he is worth anything at 2B much less OF in anything but the very deepest leagues. But watch, some fool will gamble on him in almost every league.

Cabrera? I was thinking more along the lines of Beltran... ish. After all, he was an Astro, too.
:-b Stop hating Beltran actually has put up huge numbers before.

I did put the "ish" in there.

:-b