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Jon Papelbon

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:16 am
by stomperrob
I've seen several sources that are high on this kid. How good are his chances on making the starting rotation and what kind of season do you see him having?

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:31 am
by nikku88
Unless they trade someone, he's not starting.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:36 am
by JTWood
Let's see... Lindy's doesn't even project him. Sporting News says he could go either way, but projects 34 IPs with a 1.47 WHIP and a 9.0 K/9. Fantistics has him at 60 IPs wth a 5-3 record, 1.25 WHIP, and an 8.1 K/9.

The official JT projection is that it doesn't matter if he starts or goes to the pen because you should stay away* for 4 reasons:
  1. Rookie
  2. American
  3. League
  4. East
* - Unless you have a good keeper system.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:39 am
by tlef316
good upside, but not totally ready yet IMO. I doubt the sox would be comfortable with him in the rotation this spring, even if he is lights out in ST. They have oither capable guys that have proven they can handle it. If he turns out to be a star, and someone falters, he could crack the rotation. As of now, i think he stays in the pen.

The guy has great upside, but i think the sox fans are slightly over-enthusiastic at this point. He has very good stuff and a pretty solid makeup, but lets let him prove it over a full season before we annoint him a star.

if i were in an AL only league, i might take a shot at him late. If its a mixed league, i let him go to the WW, unless the league is absurdly deep. Let the sox homer in your league take a shot at him if he chooses to. As of now, there are better options at the end of the draft.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:27 am
by teddy ballgame
He won't start unless there are a few injuries. He's 6th right now, and if we get Clemens he's 7th on the list I think. He could be in there as a regular next year, but I wouldn't expect too much this year.

He does have great upside though. Schilling has said that a guy with his stuff has to start.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 10:35 am
by moose32
if Foulke gets bombed does he become the closer?

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 11:11 am
by BronXBombers51
I just signed him to a 3 year contract for $1 each in a new 16-team dynasty. I'm willing to take a gamble on him. I'm not sure what he'll do this year, but that's why I signed him for 3 years.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 11:38 am
by thedude
moose32 wrote:if Foulke gets bombed does he become the closer?


Nope. Timlin then Hansen will get shots as closer first.

Paplebon might start if (as reports indicate) the Red Sox are planning to trade Clement or Wells during ST. But that may or may not happen so he is only worth a late round pick in a deep league at this point. Just monitor the situation closely.

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 12:33 pm
by JTWood
BronXBombers51 wrote:I just signed him to a 3 year contract for $1 each in a new 16-team dynasty. I'm willing to take a gamble on him. I'm not sure what he'll do this year, but that's why I signed him for 3 years.

I would do the same, if the opportunity arose.

;-D

PostPosted: Sat Feb 11, 2006 1:13 pm
by George_Foreman
well, i took him in the 14th round of my keeper league if that says anything. he projects out well in a few years time, although pitching in Boston shouldn't be too good for his ERA/WHIP. Still good K numbers and good win totals should follow if he starts.