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Johnny Peralta

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Postby NikkiSixx » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:57 pm

beezer wrote:I HAVE to say it............... I told you so!!!!!!!! Check out the first post on April 1st. I not right often so I just have to gloat a little.


Dont get ahead of yourself, he has looked great at the plate the last 2 days.
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Postby acsguitar » Sat Jun 17, 2006 2:10 pm

beezer wrote:I HAVE to say it............... I told you so!!!!!!!! Check out the first post on April 1st. I not right often so I just have to gloat a little.


Good call although I heard it from other people too I just didn't wanna believe
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Postby NikkiSixx » Sat Jun 17, 2006 2:45 pm

I also wasnt too high on Peralta coming into the year, but he is showing signs of turning it around.
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Postby The Loveable Losers » Sat Jun 17, 2006 3:37 pm

Peralta's problem is that his k/bb/ab ratio don't bode well for future success unless he's going to hit a bunch of home runs. In 2005 he struck out 25.4% of his at bats last year and had a bb/k ratio of 0.453 (which in case you're wondering is not good).

Even with that he can succeed if he hits for a very good average on balls in play AND hits with authority - basically if he hits like a 'slugger'. Last year he did both of those things - .349 BABIP and 19.6% hr/f ratio.

2006 has been the same story with the k/bb/ab. His k/ab has actually risen to 27.9%. His bb/k ratio is down to 0.414. He's not shown any progression in plate discipline - in fact he's regressed.

Even with that he could hit about .281 if he was able to maintain the BABIP and hr/f% that he had last year. But those have dropped down to .309 and 10.3% respectively.

Peralta's young and he could take some steps forward. But given the type of hitter he is I seriously doubt he can maintain a .349 BABIP...that's Ichiro territory. I'd put him in the .320 area or maybe even .315. He definitely hits the ball with authority (career ld% over 20%) and he doesn't hit with a ton of loft (steady gb% around 46%) so he can probably maintain a BABIP that's decently high like that. The hr/f is another story though. That all depends on Peralta's development...how strong he gets, how well he learns to drive the ball and at this point those things are the biggest question marks.

With how young he is it's hard to predict whether last year is closer to the real Peralta or this year is. What we can say with reasonable certainty is that Peralta has bad contact skills as well as a poor batting eye. He also seems to hit the ball with a good amount of authority in the times that he manages to make contact...even this year's hr/f% is right around league average and his ld% is well above the league average. How good he'll be both in the rest of the year this year and in the future depends a lot on how much power he can develop because his other skills (k/ab, bb/k, ld%, gb%) don't seem to be changing a lot.
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Postby Big Tiex » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:45 pm

i no its not saying too much but last 4 games--

.647 AVG
5RBI
3 Doubles
1 Hr
5 Runs
:-? :-?
dont waist ur time tho, i just picked him up so im predicting 0-5 next game :-°
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Postby cordscords » Sun Jun 18, 2006 5:59 pm

This has to be a huge confidence booster.

I just hope he can turn his season around and produce #'s somewhere close to last years.
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Postby acsguitar » Sun Jun 18, 2006 7:43 pm

Big Tiex wrote:i no its not saying too much but last 4 games--

.647 AVG
5RBI
3 Doubles
1 Hr
5 Runs
:-? :-?
dont waist ur time tho, i just picked him up so im predicting 0-5 next game :-°


Even if he starts turning it on he still isn't as good as a lot of SS's you can find on the FA wire. At least in my points league
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Postby Niffoc4 » Sun Jun 18, 2006 9:19 pm

League can't be too deep then, if last year's Peralta wouldn't have been worth having... then again you can put the league depth qualifier onto most of these conversations
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Postby tomdoyle3 » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:05 am

This move down in the order may have helped him. It took a lot of pressure off of him. ;-D

I'd definetly try to pick him up, he has tons of power potential, and a power hitting shortstop is rare. ;-D
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Postby Big Tiex » Mon Jun 19, 2006 9:13 am

acsguitar wrote:Even if he starts turning it on he still isn't as good as a lot of SS's you can find on the FA wire. At least in my points league


um in my 12 teamer, heres the selection of SS

Betancourt
wilson
aurilia
carroll
cedeno

- i'm thinkin a decent peralta tops all 5 of these :-?
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