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Some thought on Nick Swisher...

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Some thought on Nick Swisher...

Postby gostanford07 » Sat Jun 03, 2006 6:56 pm

Anyone else think that he will slow down quite a bit? I think especially avg. wise, he is due for a big slump. Just taking a look at some of the THT stats, I see a few red flags. For one, he has struck out 48 times already, which puts him on pace for roughly 144. Also, his Line Drive % is down from last year, and at 18.5%, but his BA/BIP is up to .313. Finally, his HR/Flyball ratio is WAY up from last year, at 20.2%. I hate to look too far into the #'s, but some of these are hard to get away from. Anyone watching him on a day to day basis have some insight? What are some thoughts on his possible final numbers? Thanks guys.
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Postby PinotResa » Sat Jun 03, 2006 7:50 pm

I think the HR/FB ratio being up and LD% going down have some correlation, in a good way. His BA/BIP is just fine. His PrOPS is still higher than his actual and he didn't put up amazing numbers the two years previous. I think he's a hold for owners and can be given good long term value in all trades.
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Postby hwiggen » Sun Jun 04, 2006 3:01 am

The first thing I think of when I think of Nick Swisher is, "Man, his mom must have been one hell of an athlete, because his dad didn't have an athletic bone in his body."
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Postby RynMan » Sun Jun 04, 2006 3:54 am

I think he'll finish the season:

35 HR
100 RBI
20 R
.270 AVG
.880 OPS
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Postby pokeyjoe » Sun Jun 04, 2006 11:59 am

RynMan wrote:I think he'll finish the season:

35 HR
100 RBI
20 R
.270 AVG
.880 OPS


Maybe you meant 120, or some other number followed by a "0" but I think 20 might be selling him a little short considering he has more than that right now. ;-)
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Postby broomulack » Sun Jun 04, 2006 12:01 pm

RynMan wrote:I think he'll finish the season:

35 HR
100 RBI
20 R
.270 AVG
.880 OPS


The power numbers are nice, but if he FINISHES with a .270 average that means he's hitting below .250 the rest of the way. Scary stuff.
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