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Spring Training Stats

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Spring Training Stats

Postby kev921 » Tue Mar 09, 2004 6:11 pm

Are just the last two or three weeks of spring training stats the only true meaningful stats?
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Postby mkooljr1 » Tue Mar 09, 2004 6:15 pm

General speaking, NO! Of course there are specific cases which they are meaningful, but for the healthy player with a guaranteed job, it's meaningless. It's just like any other 2 or 3 week sample size of performance during the season. A period that any player could be hot or cold during and whose performance has no predictive power for the future.
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Postby jellyroll » Tue Mar 09, 2004 6:42 pm

mkooljr1 wrote:General speaking, NO! Of course there are specific cases which they are meaningful, but for the healthy player with a guaranteed job, it's meaningless. It's just like any other 2 or 3 week sample size of performance during the season. A period that any player could be hot or cold during and whose performance has no predictive power for the future.


yep. also in st players try to work on things they wouldn't in the regular season
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Postby j_d_mcnugent » Tue Mar 09, 2004 6:59 pm

just looking at the stats alone doesnt tell you a whole lot. for example, you might think matt morris sucks right about now. but if you read between the lines he was working on his change up and threw that most of the time. furthermore, since it was reported in the papers he was going to be working on his changeup everyone knew it was coming and was teeing off on it.

another scenario - emil brown is really tearing it up for the cardinals. the problem is that most of the damage is coming in "b" games probably off of garbage pitchers.

so the lesson is that you really need to track the stories that go along with the box scores and read whats going on. the stats themselves have no meaning. the stories give meaning to the stats.
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