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A.J. Mass amazes once again

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A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby LloydChristmas » Mon Jun 28, 2010 10:48 pm

I've been very critical of A.J. Mass for a long time basically because his articles consistently paint him as an idiot (to put it nicely). This is his latest gem:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?id=5335704

Basically his hypothesis is that the batting average of the first batter faced by a closer is an important indicator of performance and perception of performance in the manager's eyes. Even before assessing his results this strikes me and completely simplistic and something he probably thought up 15 minutes before his article was due to ESPN.com.

Here's where it gets good. Based on his in-depth statistical analysis, guess who he labels as falling into this category:?

"With an FBA of .240 or higher and a closer-in-waiting perhaps giving their managers a better alternative, these pitchers may find themselves pulled from the role, or perhaps put on the trading block."

JONATHAN BROXTON

He obviously fails to mention that Broxton has:

The lowest xFIP amongst qualified relievers in baseball
A WHIP under 1
An ERA under 2
Over 13 Ks/9
The highest RAR amongst qualified relievers
The highest WAR amongst qualified relievers

As if that wasn't enough, guess who he places in this category?:

"With an FBA under .175, it should take quite a bit for any of these pitchers to lose their jobs in the near future. Yes, even for Kerry Wood, though of course his name has been mentioned in trade talks."

Alfredo. Simon.

So, A.J., Alfredo Simon's job is more secure than Jonathan Broxton's?

How does this clown have a job?
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby dmattingly23 » Mon Jun 28, 2010 11:07 pm

By far the worst fantasy article I have ever seen. :-t
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby BitterDodgerFan » Mon Jun 28, 2010 11:09 pm

i stopped paying attention to him a while back, maybe he's doing this for attention/controversy.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby DaSh 1s » Mon Jun 28, 2010 11:40 pm

ESPN for Fantasy advice? Really?
B-Chad wrote:Pedroia's LD rate of 20% is reason to believe he'll maintain a higher BA then Cano. It should also be noted he hits more FB's then Cano, which means that even if he posts a lower HR/FB then Cano, he should come in reasonably close to Cano in HR's
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby Dan Lambskin » Tue Jun 29, 2010 8:53 am

he should have a Bad Fantasy Advice-off with Al Melchoir from CBS
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby LloydChristmas » Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:08 am

Update: I really got a laugh out of the Comments page subsequent to this article:

http://myespn.go.com/s/conversations/show/story/5335704

Enjoy the carnage.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby thejusman1 » Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:11 am

Does not compare to the Willy Tavares for Roy Halladay trade argument he was trying to make, found here:

viewtopic.php?t=390974&hilit=A.J.+Mass&start=10

Yeah, A.J. Mass is a blithering idiot.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby LloydChristmas » Tue Jun 29, 2010 12:18 pm

Another fun update:

Mass "defending" himself in a chat today -

Tom (Dallas)

Please defend yourself. Are you really this dense. You have Broxton in your "danger zone" for closers?? This is exactly why I ignore almost all of your analysis.

AJ Mass

You can't pick and choose the numbers. Broxton was the lone pitcher that stood out as a "Really?" name, but having said that, this was never an "absolute" stat --- merely a tool to see why Manny Acta says "Kerry Wood is my closer." and Joe Torre may be starting to look to trade for some bullpen help. Never said Broxton WOULD lose his job... but when he then blows a save or two, and media grumblings grow, nor should you be shocked.

Broxton was the ONLY pitcher that stood out as a "really?" name? What about Heath Bell, Billy Wagner, Alfredo Simon, etc.?
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby AquaMan2342 » Tue Jun 29, 2010 3:18 pm

Eh....most on here are aware of how I feel about this bum.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby AquaMan2342 » Tue Jun 29, 2010 4:13 pm

DaSh 1s wrote:ESPN for Fantasy advice? Really?


I think Cockroft and Grey are both excellent fantasy analysts. Grey's the reason I felt comfortable drafting Andrus and Rios this year where I drafted them. Berry is OK. I don't read or listen to Karabell and Mass is a complete idiot. Sometimes I wonder if they make him write articles that make outrageously stupid claims in them just to get the reactions they get. His articles usually have more comments than anybody else's.
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