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A.J. Mass amazes once again

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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby LloydChristmas » Tue Jun 29, 2010 4:25 pm

AquaMan2342 wrote:
DaSh 1s wrote:ESPN for Fantasy advice? Really?


I think Cockroft and Grey are both excellent fantasy analysts. Grey's the reason I felt comfortable drafting Andrus and Rios this year where I drafted them. Berry is OK. I don't read or listen to Karabell and Mass is a complete idiot. Sometimes I wonder if they make him write articles that make outrageously stupid claims in them just to get the reactions they get. His articles usually have more comments than anybody else's.


I think it's more likely that he writes this stuff so he can feel like a misunderstood contrarian. Also, it gets people like us talking about him and as the saying goes, "sometimes negative attention is better than no attention at all".
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby Bloody Sox » Wed Jul 14, 2010 5:23 pm

So while trying to waste some time before leaving work for the day, I stumbled on the ESPN second half rankings and I was reading the commentary from the rankers. On the subject of which player(s) were toughest to rank, this was A.J. Mass' statement:

Rightly or wrongly, Jayson Werth has seemingly worn out his welcome in Philadelphia. With free agency looming, a trade in the next few weeks seems certain. If he goes to a contender as a "role-player rental," expect a severe dip in playing time.


So A.J. Mass thinks that if a contender ships away multiple prospects to get someone of the caliber of Jayson Werth that they are not going to play him full time? Whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat?????? :-o
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby Neato Torpedo » Wed Jul 14, 2010 5:31 pm

To be fair, guys that put up 36/20 numbers are barely replacement level.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby BitterDodgerFan » Wed Jul 14, 2010 7:18 pm

i found AJ Mass giving out advice here at the cafe:

viewtopic.php?t=416170

check out the 2nd post in that thread. :-D
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby ironman » Thu Jul 15, 2010 10:20 am

If you judged closers merely on their first batter faced then Carlos Marmol would be the worst closer in the history of baseball. :-D
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby Neato Torpedo » Fri Aug 13, 2010 6:20 pm

LloydChristmas wrote:I've been very critical of A.J. Mass for a long time basically because his articles consistently paint him as an idiot (to put it nicely). This is his latest gem:

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?id=5335704

Basically his hypothesis is that the batting average of the first batter faced by a closer is an important indicator of performance and perception of performance in the manager's eyes. Even before assessing his results this strikes me and completely simplistic and something he probably thought up 15 minutes before his article was due to ESPN.com.

Here's where it gets good. Based on his in-depth statistical analysis, guess who he labels as falling into this category:?

"With an FBA of .240 or higher and a closer-in-waiting perhaps giving their managers a better alternative, these pitchers may find themselves pulled from the role, or perhaps put on the trading block."

JONATHAN BROXTON

He obviously fails to mention that Broxton has:

The lowest xFIP amongst qualified relievers in baseball
A WHIP under 1
An ERA under 2
Over 13 Ks/9
The highest RAR amongst qualified relievers
The highest WAR amongst qualified relievers

As if that wasn't enough, guess who he places in this category?:

"With an FBA under .175, it should take quite a bit for any of these pitchers to lose their jobs in the near future. Yes, even for Kerry Wood, though of course his name has been mentioned in trade talks."

Alfredo. Simon.

So, A.J., Alfredo Simon's job is more secure than Jonathan Broxton's?

How does this clown have a job?

A.J. MASS IS A PROPHET
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby BitterDodgerFan » Fri Aug 13, 2010 6:39 pm

simon has pretty much lost his job too though :-B
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby The Handsome One » Thu Aug 26, 2010 4:35 pm

He has Lester as his #1 SP for tomorrow, based on the "facts" that the Sox need to sweep the Rays to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, and that Lester has been strong in September during his career. I guess he doesn't realize that the game will take place in August?
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby kaiser » Fri Aug 27, 2010 1:25 pm

I'm not a fan of AJ Mass, either, but it sure seems like he ended up being on the money with the Broxton call.

Seems kind of quiet in here, considering how rabid the initial posts mocking that prediction were.
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Re: A.J. Mass amazes once again

Postby AquaMan2342 » Fri Aug 27, 2010 2:44 pm

kaiser wrote:I'm not a fan of AJ Mass, either, but it sure seems like he ended up being on the money with the Broxton call.

Seems kind of quiet in here, considering how rabid the initial posts mocking that prediction were.


And the next poster pointed out that Simon lost his job around the same time.....the same Simon that Mass was pimping using the logic he was using. The reason Broxton has bombed lately has nothing to do with Mass's theory and Simon is the perfect counterexample to anybody who thinks so.
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