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Where would you take Smoltz

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Postby Rico The Retard » Wed Jan 05, 2005 11:20 pm

i wouldnt consider him until probably the 8th round
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Postby Scott Boras Client » Wed Jan 05, 2005 11:21 pm

You honestly couldn't pay me to take him in the first dozen rounds. (Well, offer enough and we could probably work something out -- as long as it was a mock, so I wouldn't regret it this summer.)
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Postby CubsFan7724 » Wed Jan 05, 2005 11:22 pm

Ha, so a guy who hasnt started since 2001, in which starting caused him to be injured? I'll pass on him early, and let someone else take that risk.
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Postby mtarail » Thu Jan 06, 2005 12:23 am

I agree. Dude will be 38 years old in May and hasn't started since 2001. I'll pass. :-t

Maybe in the 12th I'd take him.
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Postby nikku88 » Thu Jan 06, 2005 1:55 am

I would probably take him from the 10th on. He's high risk, high reward. I don't really like risky picks early though.
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Postby LBJackal » Thu Jan 06, 2005 2:01 am

His arm will be rested, he's been as good as ever the past couple years, and he's 100% healthy as far as I know. From the looks of things around here he's going to be undervalued. It's hard to know what to expect, but I'd expect him to do a lot better than most other people here think he wil.
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Postby kimchi_chigae » Thu Jan 06, 2005 2:07 am

jonnyblack wrote:I took Santana in the 8th last year, and (if you can forget about Santana's awesome 2004) I value smoltz a little less than than. I might grab him in the eigth depending on how the draft is shaking out. but ninth or tenth sounds better for me too.


i don't think you can compare smoltz with santana. johan was a guy a lot of people were predicting to be a good picther and possibly have an outstanding season in 04, if you were alble to get him in the 8th round last year, you are a luck man. i don't doubt that smoltz can surprise a lot of people and have a solid year, but like the others said, if someone else wants to take a chance on him before the 10th round, it's fine with me.

i hope smoltz does well. he seems like a nice guy B-)
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Postby trevisc » Thu Jan 06, 2005 9:47 am

if it weren't for Smoltz' injury risk I would rank him in the top 10 of all SP this year. IF, and that's a big IF, he can stay healthy I think he could be in contention for a cy young (although I think Pedro will win the NL Cy Young this year)

I'm gonna look for him around the 5th round
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Postby THE TERMINATOR » Thu Jan 06, 2005 11:14 am

I will not be taken him.

This is the Major Leagues and Pitching 7 innings is complately diferent from Pitching 1 Inning.

I don't think he is going to find it that easy changing that Closer mind set into a Starter mind set.

Anyway, for them 12 season he was a starter. He was only averge for 10 of them.
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Postby trevisc » Thu Jan 06, 2005 11:29 am

THE TERMINATOR wrote:I will not be taken him.

This is the Major Leagues and Pitching 7 innings is complately diferent from Pitching 1 Inning.

I don't think he is going to find it that easy changing that Closer mind set into a Starter mind set.

Anyway, for them 12 season he was a starter. He was only averge for 10 of them.


http://bigleaguers.yahoo.com/mlbpa/players/4232/career

i think you need to look at his stat over his whole career. Especially 1996. From what i've heard when you have Tommy John surgery it's like getting a new elbow. If that's the case the Smoltz will be rock solid. As far as the mind set goes..it's actually harder to go from a SP to a closer then the other way around. Most SP don't have the stomach for it. Smoltz is a warrior and will have an awesome year.
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